Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.420195 10.595299 11.937482 13.601644 15.634952 18.072807 21.271124
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.624278 9.110295 10.976321 13.558945 17.158173 22.198152 30.211059
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.598030 8.182212 10.294045 13.439647 18.255659 25.863164 40.148118
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.074240 7.767876 10.142632 13.916621 20.223076 31.459375 56.837099
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.419733 7.062745 9.440128 13.379021 20.359176 33.910316 69.297934
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.882595 6.454191 8.783619 12.770933 20.179847 35.645159 81.782928
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.490341 6.013278 8.321033 12.393665 20.314093 38.094687 99.411840
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.228406 5.739549 8.083178 12.356385 21.094232 42.422446 130.794226
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.198186 5.813903 8.408467 13.382813 24.402280 55.423337 240.944005
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.094708 5.760101 8.509092 13.999068 27.015592 68.783933 450.505532
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.911985 5.560942 8.333803 14.029224 28.201775 78.441583 771.003004
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.781341 5.436116 8.275381 14.290941 30.106507 93.362206 1810.314717
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.551893 5.146616 7.921918 13.933846 30.391916 102.732746 4467.872741
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.375944 4.938928 7.706811 13.870897 31.642348 120.504718 61314.208269
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.211822 4.738183 7.482672 13.746550 32.679789 140.137017 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.130909 4.675396 7.515356 14.239871 36.111009 190.291025 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.950745 4.423278 7.150203 13.683808 35.455044 201.389094 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.778953 4.176353 6.776365 13.055278 34.323360 205.560098 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.644249 3.988942 6.508511 12.665566 34.045260 221.749404 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.553165 3.875384 6.381553 12.627066 35.242736 267.500942 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.563620 3.947907 6.644071 13.687729 42.026996 507.638503 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.534247 3.943819 6.744513 14.325178 47.482310 935.638359 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.460799 3.851433 6.644834 14.356384 49.755341 1406.920654 NaN